538~Clinton's crushing it tonight. Democrats want this thing to be over with. (HRC GP) [View all]
NATE SILVER 11:34 PM
Democrats Want This Thing To Be Over
Clintons margins tonight are toward the high end of expectations, with the possible exception of New Mexico, where she won but by a slightly smaller margin than we would have projected. But in New Jersey and South Dakota and in the early returns from Montana and (more importantly) California shes doing very, very well.
There are more votes left to be counted. But it reminds me of the stretch of states that Trump had in April, where Republican voters suddenly began voting for Trump by large majorities after never having given him more than 50 percent of the vote before. That may have been because Republicans wanted to avert a contested convention and were sick of arguments over process.
Democrats may be reacting similarly, rejecting Sanderss insinuations that the system is rigged against him, and giving Clinton, the candidate who has won far more votes and elected delegates, a more emphatic majority. Clinton has her largest lead in national polls since February, won in a landslide in Puerto Rico over the weekend, and is having somewhere between a very good and an outstanding night tonight, depending on how the rest of the vote in Montana and California goes.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/740387265617219584
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/june-7-new-jersey-california-primary-presidential-election-2016/?#livepress-update-23672723