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Denzil_DC

(8,106 posts)
8. Their charts show the same result for the Scotland region with and without tactical voting.
Thu May 9, 2019, 05:25 PM
May 2019


The benefits for Remain in most other regions are marginal, an extra seat (usually) for the Lib Dems at most. If it works out as Miller hopes, the main beneficiaries would be the Lib Dems overall. The current "Remain" parties would have 16 seats, versus 10 without tactical voting, whereas the Brexit Party would have 3 fewer seats with tactical voting, as would (today confirmed to be Brexit-supporting) Labour.

It underlines a couple of points I've made before (not allowing for how the polling may shift during the course of the campaign): (1) tactical voting under the D'Hondt system isn't that effective (and can have unintended consequences these simplistic charts don't take into account), and (2) any Remain supporters would be well advised to avoid trumpeting the Euro elections as a proxy for a referendum.

I could easily feel bad for Labour's MEP candidates. Despite their party's current swithering and today's confirmed capitulation, they've generally been a force for good in the European Parliament.

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