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qazplm135

(7,626 posts)
9. even if we were sitting at only 400K left...
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:50 PM
Nov 2020

with Biden winning absentee votes basically 75-25, he would still net 200K thousand which would be a narrow win.

With the remaining 363K you are adding another roughly 150K which explains why Dems in PA are telling Team Biden that they should end up winning by 100K+ give or take.

The only way this falls apart is if:

a. They just stop counting. (not happening)
b. There's some gross error and there is less than 400K votes left. (seems highly unlikely)
c. Biden's percentage drop from about 50 points it's been to less than about 22 points in the remaining vote. (also seems highly unlikely)

A similar situation in GA just with much smaller numbers:

a.

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